Week 5: New Orleans (-4.5) @ Tampa Bay

Real value here. New Orleans is effectively at throwing the ball and defending the pass. Tampa is not good at either. Both have played a similar schedule strength but New Orleans has performed much better. While Tampa is not as bad as they were against the 49ers, New Orleans is an easy pick giving 4.5. Pick: New Orleans

New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers
On Offense On Defense
Yards per Pass Attempt 7.685 (8) 7.858 (27)
Turnovers per Play 0.019 (11) 0.023 (16)
Sacks Allowed per Play 0.03 (13) 0.032 (20)
% Running Attempts 36.8% (27) 44.3% (20)
On Defense On Offense
Yards per Pass Attempt 6.432 (10) 6.169 (25)
Turnovers per Play 0.013 (30) 0.025 (17)
Sacks per Play 0.045 (7) 0.028 (11)
% Running Attempts 33.3% (3) 40.4% (17)
Projecting Winning % 0.675 0.348
Opponents Projected Win% 0.567 0.546
Actual Winning % 0.800 0.600
Winning Factor 0.656 0.383
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