Real value here. New Orleans is effectively at throwing the ball and defending the pass. Tampa is not good at either. Both have played a similar schedule strength but New Orleans has performed much better. While Tampa is not as bad as they were against the 49ers, New Orleans is an easy pick giving 4.5. Pick: New Orleans
| New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |
| On Offense | On Defense | |
| Yards per Pass Attempt | 7.685 (8) | 7.858 (27) |
| Turnovers per Play | 0.019 (11) | 0.023 (16) |
| Sacks Allowed per Play | 0.03 (13) | 0.032 (20) |
| % Running Attempts | 36.8% (27) | 44.3% (20) |
| On Defense | On Offense | |
| Yards per Pass Attempt | 6.432 (10) | 6.169 (25) |
| Turnovers per Play | 0.013 (30) | 0.025 (17) |
| Sacks per Play | 0.045 (7) | 0.028 (11) |
| % Running Attempts | 33.3% (3) | 40.4% (17) |
| Projecting Winning % | 0.675 | 0.348 |
| Opponents Projected Win% | 0.567 | 0.546 |
| Actual Winning % | 0.800 | 0.600 |
| Winning Factor | 0.656 | 0.383 |