Normally, this should be an even game. Both teams have played well all year. Houston is effective on offense and defense while the Raven are great defensively and average on offense. Should be a 3-4 point line at Baltimore. The Texas have lost impact players on both sides of the ball in Andre Johnson and Mario Williams. The temptation is to take the eight points and I will do so but don’t feel great about it. However, the line reflects the Baltimore performance against Mark Sanchez and Matt Schaub is much better. Flacco is Flacco. Pick: Texans.
| Baltimore Ravens | Houston Texans | |
| On Offense | On Defense | |
| Yards per Pass Attempt | 6.707 (17) | 6.124 (7) |
| Turnovers per Play | 0.027 (19) | 0.027 (10) |
| Sacks Allowed per Play | 0.031 (14) | 0.051 (5) |
| % Running Attempts | 43.5% (9) | 37.3% (12) |
| On Defense | On Offense | |
| Yards per Pass Attempt | 5.653 (2) | 8.104 (5) |
| Turnovers per Play | 0.056 (1) | 0.018 (8) |
| Sacks per Play | 0.044 (8) | 0.027 (9) |
| % Running Attempts | 35.9% (8) | 48.4% (4) |
| Projecting Winning % | 0.829 | 0.835 |
| Opponents Projected Win% | 0.453 | 0.479 |
| Actual Winning % | 0.750 | 0.600 |
| Winning Factor | 0.762 | 0.772 |