Week 5: Houston @ Baltimore (-8)

Normally, this should be an even game. Both teams have played well all year. Houston is effective on offense and defense while the Raven are great defensively and average on offense. Should be a 3-4 point line at Baltimore. The Texas have lost impact players on both sides of the ball in Andre Johnson and Mario Williams. The temptation is to take the eight points and I will do so but don’t feel great about it. However, the line reflects the Baltimore performance against Mark Sanchez and Matt Schaub is much better. Flacco is Flacco. Pick: Texans.

Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans
On Offense On Defense
Yards per Pass Attempt 6.707 (17) 6.124 (7)
Turnovers per Play 0.027 (19) 0.027 (10)
Sacks Allowed per Play 0.031 (14) 0.051 (5)
% Running Attempts 43.5% (9) 37.3% (12)
On Defense On Offense
Yards per Pass Attempt 5.653 (2) 8.104 (5)
Turnovers per Play 0.056 (1) 0.018 (8)
Sacks per Play 0.044 (8) 0.027 (9)
% Running Attempts 35.9% (8) 48.4% (4)
Projecting Winning % 0.829 0.835
Opponents Projected Win% 0.453 0.479
Actual Winning % 0.750 0.600
Winning Factor 0.762 0.772
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