Monthly Archives: September 2011

The first week of picks. I have always been horrible at prioritizing, but Minnesota rates at the top pick and is in bold. Minnesota (-2) over Seattle Oakland (+4) over New England Dallas (-1.5) over Detroit New Orleans (-7) over … Continue reading →

A lot of points to give for a team with a protected winning percentage below .500. Despite how bad the Colts have been, the QB switch could improve their woeful performance. This line would be accurate with Collins at QB … Continue reading →

Two strong defensive teams facing two average offenses. The Jets have been below average in stopping the other team from dictating tempo on the ground and have turned the ball over and not protected the vaunted Sanchise. The Ravens have … Continue reading →

An accurately priced line. Green Bay has been a superior team in every respect except defensing the pass. Denver does nothing well, especially throwing the ball. Pick: Green Bay. Green Bay Packers Denver Broncos Offense Yards per Pass Attempt 8.573 … Continue reading →

The Chargers get a touchdown in this game solely out of reputation and a superficial look at the standings. The Dolphins have not won a game while the Chargers have won two, but they are both equally as bad. Neither … Continue reading →

The Giants seem the clear choice here. They have moved the ball efficiently and the Cardinals have been below average on defense. Kevin Kolb has passed well and the Giants have been average in stopping it. The Giants have performed … Continue reading →

A solid test for both teams. The Texans have lost to the only good team they have faced as have the Steelers. The Texans have moved the ball efficiently through the air and the Steelers have been the best at … Continue reading →

A real test for the Bears. Their defense ranks above average in all categories and will face one of the more efficient passing attacks. Their offense has real problems protecting the QB and controlling the tempo of the game. Teams … Continue reading →

Easiest pick of the week. Any time you can give only a point and a half against the Chiefs, take it. Kansas City has been awful in every respect and are on pace for a 16 loss season both in … Continue reading →

Two bad teams playing poorly but Seattle is the league worst in passing offense, protecting the QB, not getting turnovers or controlling the football on defense. It is a miracle they have won a game. However, Atlanta has been terrible … Continue reading →

Despite the excitement of the comebacks at home against Oakland and New England, Buffalo has been middle of the road on offense except for protecting Fitzpatrick and getting turnovers. Their pass defense is average but the Bengals do not throw … Continue reading →

An interesting matchup between teams with distinct strengths and weaknesses. For a team that paid Chris Johnson a ton to run the ball, Tennessee has been throwing and throwing it effectively. Cleveland comes into the game defending the pass well … Continue reading →

Washington does just about everything better than St. Louis. Their offense numbers are average while the Rams have been horrible. The only area that Rams have an advantage on is pass defense but given the anemic air attacks by the … Continue reading →

Neither team has efficiently passed the ball this year and have relied on controlling the game on the ground. They both run the ball in half of all their plays. Alex Smith has protected the ball well while the line … Continue reading →

Vastly superior New Orleans should be able to win this easily. New Orleans is average against the pass and does not get at the opposing QB but this should not be a factor against one of the weakest passing attacks … Continue reading →

A fascinating early matchup that will prove conclusively whether the Lions are for real or not. While having a perfect season so far, the Lions have played less than stellar opposition. They crushed a weak Kansas City (0.000 projecting winning … Continue reading →

A close matchup if one looks just at 2011 data and not the recent history of the two teams. New England’s passing attack leads the league and should be difficult to stop if Brady throws just to his teammates this … Continue reading →

The following are the week 3 rankings. There have not been enough games yet to factor in the strength of schedule (SOS) variable since 1/3 of it is dependent on how the opposing team played in the individual game against … Continue reading →